No Change in A Poor Man's Hedge Fund

by Graham Giller July 20, 2009 22:25

With an extra month's data for the Dynamic Trading Risk Factor, we can look to see whether there has been any re-ordering of the members of the XLF that are selected for membership of the Poor Man's Hedge Fund.

Membership of A Poor Man's Hedge Fund

The above data shows no change to our prior computation, and the membership is still:

  1. Invesco plc IVZ
  2. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. GS
  3. Morgan Stanley MS
  4. T Rowe Price Group Inc. TROW
  5. Janus Capital Group Inc. JNS
  6. Ameriprise Financial Services Inc. AMP
  7. Franklin Resources, Inc. BEN
  8. Lincoln National Corp. Inc. LNC

Note that Ameriprise is no longer in the top five, having been replaced by Janus.

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What are the Other Three Stocks in the Poor Man's Hedge Fund?

by Graham Giller June 27, 2009 01:19

Our original Poor Man's Hedge Fund was built from five stocks. However, evidence presented in a recent post, studying the tracking of portfolios of various sizes, suggests that the right number might be larger. If one looks at the chart in detail, it's probably best to conclude that the optimal size is somewhere in the region 4–10 stocks. Since my prior bias is too include more stocks, thereby acting to reduce the exposure to idiosyncratic factors, I decided to go with the eight stocks that give the best tracking, as measured by the in sample regression R². The data for these eight are listed in the table below.

A Poor Man's Hedge Fund - Membership

The added companies are:

  1. Janus Capital Group Inc. JNS
  2. Franklin Resources Inc. BEN
  3. Lincoln National Corp. LNC

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Graham Giller - Headshot GRAHAM GILLER
Dr. Giller holds a doctorate from Oxford University in experimental elementary particle physics. His field of research was statistical astronomy using high energy cosmic rays. After leaving Oxford, he worked in the Process Driven Trading Group at Morgan Stanley, as a strategy researcher and portfolio manager. He then ran a CTA/CPO firm which concentrated on trading eurodollar futures using statistical models. From 2004, he has managed a private family investment office. In 2009, he joined a California based hedge fund startup, concentrating on high frequency alpha and volatility forecasting. A detailed resume is available.

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